**Recent diplomatic and military developments shape prospects for a US-Iran agreement.** As of mid-June 2026, negotiators have discussed a memorandum of understanding to extend the April ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and explore sanctions relief, with Pakistan and Oman mediating multiple rounds. President Trump has repeatedly stated that a deal is close or reached while directing additional US strikes on Iranian targets in early June following incidents near the strait; Iran has denied final approval and cited unresolved issues. These signals of progress amid ongoing hostilities and blockade pressures create the immediate context for trader assessments of near-term agreement timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
15 juin
27%
22 juin
44%
30 juin
55%
31 juillet
65%
$53 Vol.
15 juin
$5 Vol.
27%
22 juin
$43 Vol.
44%
30 juin
$0 Vol.
55%
31 juillet
$6 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic and military developments shape prospects for a US-Iran agreement.** As of mid-June 2026, negotiators have discussed a memorandum of understanding to extend the April ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and explore sanctions relief, with Pakistan and Oman mediating multiple rounds. President Trump has repeatedly stated that a deal is close or reached while directing additional US strikes on Iranian targets in early June following incidents near the strait; Iran has denied final approval and cited unresolved issues. These signals of progress amid ongoing hostilities and blockade pressures create the immediate context for trader assessments of near-term agreement timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$53Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic and military developments shape prospects for a US-Iran agreement.** As of mid-June 2026, negotiators have discussed a memorandum of understanding to extend the April ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and explore sanctions relief, with Pakistan and Oman mediating multiple rounds. President Trump has repeatedly stated that a deal is close or reached while directing additional US strikes on Iranian targets in early June following incidents near the strait; Iran has denied final approval and cited unresolved issues. These signals of progress amid ongoing hostilities and blockade pressures create the immediate context for trader assessments of near-term agreement timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent diplomatic and military developments shape prospects for a US-Iran agreement.** As of mid-June 2026, negotiators have discussed a memorandum of understanding to extend the April ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and explore sanctions relief, with Pakistan and Oman mediating multiple rounds. President Trump has repeatedly stated that a deal is close or reached while directing additional US strikes on Iranian targets in early June following incidents near the strait; Iran has denied final approval and cited unresolved issues. These signals of progress amid ongoing hostilities and blockade pressures create the immediate context for trader assessments of near-term agreement timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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