**Ongoing indirect negotiations via mediators such as Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan continue to shape prospects for a US announcement on the location or date of any US-Iran deal signing.** A tentative May 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, naval blockade easing, and follow-on nuclear talks, but required final approvals from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Recent developments include Iran's early June rejection of a US proposal paired with a planned counteroffer, alongside Trump statements on June 11 claiming a "great settlement" with documents nearing finalization and a possible signing ceremony within days. Escalating tit-for-tat strikes have kept the ceasefire fragile, while core disputes persist over uranium enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium disposal, sanctions relief sequencing, and verification. These diplomatic signals and procedural hurdles inform trader assessments of near-term announcement timing amid the 2025–2026 negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour12 juin
43%
13 juin
41%
14 juin
48%
15 juin
48%
$0.00 Vol.
12 juin
43%
13 juin
41%
14 juin
48%
15 juin
48%
Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing indirect negotiations via mediators such as Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan continue to shape prospects for a US announcement on the location or date of any US-Iran deal signing.** A tentative May 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, naval blockade easing, and follow-on nuclear talks, but required final approvals from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Recent developments include Iran's early June rejection of a US proposal paired with a planned counteroffer, alongside Trump statements on June 11 claiming a "great settlement" with documents nearing finalization and a possible signing ceremony within days. Escalating tit-for-tat strikes have kept the ceasefire fragile, while core disputes persist over uranium enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium disposal, sanctions relief sequencing, and verification. These diplomatic signals and procedural hurdles inform trader assessments of near-term announcement timing amid the 2025–2026 negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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