US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first at high level since 1993, began in Washington on April 14, 2026, and continued through multiple rounds focused on ceasefire implementation, security zones south of the Litani River, and a framework for lasting bilateral peace and recognition of sovereignty. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced agreement on renewed conditional ceasefire terms and pilot zones excluding Hezbollah, with a fifth round scheduled for the week of June 22. Hezbollah's June 4 rejection of the deal, citing exclusion from negotiations and demands for full Israeli withdrawal, has sustained cross-border strikes and uncertainty over enforcement. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic progress reflect these fragile trilateral dynamics alongside Lebanese army control requirements and Israeli security priorities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIsraël x Liban réunion diplomatique d'ici le... ?
Israël x Liban réunion diplomatique d'ici le... ?
$32,809 Vol.
15 juin 2026
June 15
2%
22 juin
68%
30 juin
88%
$32,809 Vol.
June 15
$1,655 Vol.
2%
22 juin
$15,335 Vol.
68%
30 juin
$16,212 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first at high level since 1993, began in Washington on April 14, 2026, and continued through multiple rounds focused on ceasefire implementation, security zones south of the Litani River, and a framework for lasting bilateral peace and recognition of sovereignty. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced agreement on renewed conditional ceasefire terms and pilot zones excluding Hezbollah, with a fifth round scheduled for the week of June 22. Hezbollah's June 4 rejection of the deal, citing exclusion from negotiations and demands for full Israeli withdrawal, has sustained cross-border strikes and uncertainty over enforcement. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic progress reflect these fragile trilateral dynamics alongside Lebanese army control requirements and Israeli security priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$32,809Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first at high level since 1993, began in Washington on April 14, 2026, and continued through multiple rounds focused on ceasefire implementation, security zones south of the Litani River, and a framework for lasting bilateral peace and recognition of sovereignty. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced agreement on renewed conditional ceasefire terms and pilot zones excluding Hezbollah, with a fifth round scheduled for the week of June 22. Hezbollah's June 4 rejection of the deal, citing exclusion from negotiations and demands for full Israeli withdrawal, has sustained cross-border strikes and uncertainty over enforcement. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic progress reflect these fragile trilateral dynamics alongside Lebanese army control requirements and Israeli security priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$32,809Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first at high level since 1993, began in Washington on April 14, 2026, and continued through multiple rounds focused on ceasefire implementation, security zones south of the Litani River, and a framework for lasting bilateral peace and recognition of sovereignty. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced agreement on renewed conditional ceasefire terms and pilot zones excluding Hezbollah, with a fifth round scheduled for the week of June 22. Hezbollah's June 4 rejection of the deal, citing exclusion from negotiations and demands for full Israeli withdrawal, has sustained cross-border strikes and uncertainty over enforcement. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic progress reflect these fragile trilateral dynamics alongside Lebanese army control requirements and Israeli security priorities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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