balthazar

Inscrit janv. 2025·43.2K vues

$229.0K

Valeur des positions

$116.4K

Plus gros gain

100,464

Marchés tradés

PnL total: +$1.1M
Volume total: 87.4M

Profit/Perte

$4,438.97

Jour Précédent

Marché

Moy.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

24,000.0 actions

50¢

91.5¢

$21,960.00$9,960.00 (83%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

24,000.0 actions

$21,960.00$9,960.00 (83%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 76.8¢

12,315.5 actions

76.8¢

96.4¢

$11,872.15$2,414.04 (25.52%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 76.8¢

12,315.5 actions

$11,872.15$2,414.04 (25.52%)

Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?

No 55.2¢

9,058.3 actions

55.2¢

97.7¢

$8,845.44$3,848.01 (77%)

Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?

No 55.2¢

9,058.3 actions

$8,845.44$3,848.01 (77%)

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Yes 68.1¢

8,612.8 actions

68.1¢

97.2¢

$8,367.35$2,502.95 (42.68%)

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Yes 68.1¢

8,612.8 actions

$8,367.35$2,502.95 (42.68%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 75.2¢

6,178.8 actions

75.2¢

97.2¢

$6,002.67$1,353.62 (29.12%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 75.2¢

6,178.8 actions

$6,002.67$1,353.62 (29.12%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Yes 85¢

6,081.4 actions

85¢

98.4¢

$5,984.05$816.20 (15.79%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Yes 85¢

6,081.4 actions

$5,984.05$816.20 (15.79%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 92.7¢

5,781.9 actions

92.7¢

97.2¢

$5,617.16$258.70 (4.83%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 92.7¢

5,781.9 actions

$5,617.16$258.70 (4.83%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.6¢

5,500.0 actions

95.6¢

93.3¢

$5,128.74-$130.20 (-2.48%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.6¢

5,500.0 actions

$5,128.74-$130.20 (-2.48%)

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 82.8¢

5,596.0 actions

82.8¢

88¢

$4,924.52$290.79 (6.28%)

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 82.8¢

5,596.0 actions

$4,924.52$290.79 (6.28%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.7¢

8,222.2 actions

15.7¢

46.9¢

$3,856.20$2,566.93 (199.1%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.7¢

8,222.2 actions

$3,856.20$2,566.93 (199.1%)

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

No 85.9¢

3,711.9 actions

85.9¢

100¢

$3,710.05$523.33 (16.42%)

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

No 85.9¢

3,711.9 actions

$3,710.05$523.33 (16.42%)

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 67.1¢

3,720.4 actions

67.1¢

83.5¢

$3,106.56$611.04 (24.49%)

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 67.1¢

3,720.4 actions

$3,106.56$611.04 (24.49%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 47.2¢

3,016.8 actions

47.2¢

98.8¢

$2,980.58$1,555.99 (109.22%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 47.2¢

3,016.8 actions

$2,980.58$1,555.99 (109.22%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?

No 95.4¢

3,000.0 actions

95.4¢

99.3¢

$2,977.50$115.50 (4.04%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?

No 95.4¢

3,000.0 actions

$2,977.50$115.50 (4.04%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?

No 93.6¢

2,960.6 actions

93.6¢

99.3¢

$2,938.35$166.42 (6%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?

No 93.6¢

2,960.6 actions

$2,938.35$166.42 (6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Yes 54.3¢

3,312.4 actions

54.3¢

85.5¢

$2,832.07$1,034.00 (57.51%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Yes 54.3¢

3,312.4 actions

$2,832.07$1,034.00 (57.51%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 69.1¢

2,907.9 actions

69.1¢

93.8¢

$2,727.65$719.07 (35.8%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 69.1¢

2,907.9 actions

$2,727.65$719.07 (35.8%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 54.4¢

2,714.9 actions

54.4¢

93.7¢

$2,543.85$1,066.37 (72.18%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 54.4¢

2,714.9 actions

$2,543.85$1,066.37 (72.18%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 99.6¢

2,534.4 actions

99.6¢

$2,523.00-$2.50 (-0.1%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 99.6¢

2,534.4 actions

$2,523.00-$2.50 (-0.1%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,217.5 actions

95.3¢

97.4¢

$2,159.89$45.80 (2.17%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,217.5 actions

$2,159.89$45.80 (2.17%)