Recent reports of Anthropic in advanced talks to raise $30–50 billion at a $900–950 billion valuation have reinforced trader consensus around a 600B+ closing market cap, with market-implied odds at 88.5 percent. The company’s February Series G round already valued it at $380 billion post-money, and its Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction amid rapid revenue growth. Analysts note that an IPO as early as Q4 2026 remains plausible given the hiring of IPO counsel and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though timelines could slip due to market conditions or regulatory scrutiny of artificial intelligence. The modest 10 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects these accelerating preparations while acknowledging typical delays in high-growth tech listings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.9%
300–400B <1%
$298,166 Vol.
$298,166 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
600B+ 89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.9%
300–400B <1%
$298,166 Vol.
$298,166 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$138,188 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$53,875 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$8,872 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$60,101 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$9,133 Vol.
2%
600B+
$15,323 Vol.
89%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,673 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of Anthropic in advanced talks to raise $30–50 billion at a $900–950 billion valuation have reinforced trader consensus around a 600B+ closing market cap, with market-implied odds at 88.5 percent. The company’s February Series G round already valued it at $380 billion post-money, and its Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction amid rapid revenue growth. Analysts note that an IPO as early as Q4 2026 remains plausible given the hiring of IPO counsel and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though timelines could slip due to market conditions or regulatory scrutiny of artificial intelligence. The modest 10 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects these accelerating preparations while acknowledging typical delays in high-growth tech listings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$298,166End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of Anthropic in advanced talks to raise $30–50 billion at a $900–950 billion valuation have reinforced trader consensus around a 600B+ closing market cap, with market-implied odds at 88.5 percent. The company’s February Series G round already valued it at $380 billion post-money, and its Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction amid rapid revenue growth. Analysts note that an IPO as early as Q4 2026 remains plausible given the hiring of IPO counsel and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though timelines could slip due to market conditions or regulatory scrutiny of artificial intelligence. The modest 10 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects these accelerating preparations while acknowledging typical delays in high-growth tech listings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$298,166End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports of Anthropic in advanced talks to raise $30–50 billion at a $900–950 billion valuation have reinforced trader consensus around a 600B+ closing market cap, with market-implied odds at 88.5 percent. The company’s February Series G round already valued it at $380 billion post-money, and its Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction amid rapid revenue growth. Analysts note that an IPO as early as Q4 2026 remains plausible given the hiring of IPO counsel and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though timelines could slip due to market conditions or regulatory scrutiny of artificial intelligence. The modest 10 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects these accelerating preparations while acknowledging typical delays in high-growth tech listings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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