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Optimus predictions & odds

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$83.9K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

73%

OpenAI

$24.2K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

25%

60-79

$7.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

54%

80-99

$29.6K Vol.

$354K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

37%

80-99

$4.5K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $232

$301K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

58%

↑ $280

$72.8K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

50%

$660M

$0 Vol.

$316 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24.2K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

54%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K Vol.

$352 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

41%

$27.5B

$0 Vol.

Ends in 8 days

LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

64%

Oh My God

$94 Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$272K Vol.

$130K today

$432K Liq.

31

Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

100%

MODUS

$38.4K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

64%

Alibaba

$81.7K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

60%

Alter Ego

$14 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

75%

Natus Vincere

$5.0K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

41%

$1.50B

$0 Vol.

$46 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Optimus.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Optimus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Optimus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.