EagleRock Land's IPO pricing terms, announced May 4 at $17-20 per share for 17.3 million Class A shares, imply a fully diluted market cap of $2.2-2.6 billion, driving trader consensus toward the leading $2.5B-3.0B outcome at 51.5% implied probability amid optimism for upper-range pricing or debut pop. The Houston-based firm's 236,000 acres of core Permian Basin surface rights, asset-light royalties from land access and produced water handling (up to 400,000 bbl/day), and $45 million annual contracted minimums underpin positioning, echoing LandBridge's shares tripling post-2024 IPO despite FY2025 net losses from non-cash charges. Pricing occurs May 13 with NYSE debut May 14 under EROK, where institutional demand from leads Goldman Sachs and Barclays could elevate odds above $3.0B or compress to the 37% $2.0B-2.5B bin on energy sector volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.5B–$3.0B 53%
$2.0B–$2.5B 43%
$3.5B+ 4.3%
$3.0B–$3.5B 3.6%
$12,887 Vol.
$12,887 Vol.
<$2.0B
3%
$2.0B–$2.5B
43%
$2.5B–$3.0B
53%
$3.0B–$3.5B
4%
$3.5B+
4%
No IPO before July 2026
1%
$2.5B–$3.0B 53%
$2.0B–$2.5B 43%
$3.5B+ 4.3%
$3.0B–$3.5B 3.6%
$12,887 Vol.
$12,887 Vol.
<$2.0B
3%
$2.0B–$2.5B
43%
$2.5B–$3.0B
53%
$3.0B–$3.5B
4%
$3.5B+
4%
No IPO before July 2026
1%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...EagleRock Land's IPO pricing terms, announced May 4 at $17-20 per share for 17.3 million Class A shares, imply a fully diluted market cap of $2.2-2.6 billion, driving trader consensus toward the leading $2.5B-3.0B outcome at 51.5% implied probability amid optimism for upper-range pricing or debut pop. The Houston-based firm's 236,000 acres of core Permian Basin surface rights, asset-light royalties from land access and produced water handling (up to 400,000 bbl/day), and $45 million annual contracted minimums underpin positioning, echoing LandBridge's shares tripling post-2024 IPO despite FY2025 net losses from non-cash charges. Pricing occurs May 13 with NYSE debut May 14 under EROK, where institutional demand from leads Goldman Sachs and Barclays could elevate odds above $3.0B or compress to the 37% $2.0B-2.5B bin on energy sector volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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