Trader consensus prices Goldman Sachs at a 46% implied probability to lead underwrite SpaceX's historic IPO—targeting a $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—as active bookrunners, including Morgan Stanley (38.5%), JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup, compete intensely within a 21-bank syndicate code-named Project Apex. An April 6 virtual meeting with Elon Musk and executives confirmed the lineup but no hierarchy, sustaining the tight race amid the rocket maker's Starship milestones and Starlink expansion bolstering timing. Morgan Stanley draws strength from longstanding Musk ties via Tesla deals and xAI staffing, while Goldman Sachs edges ahead on its track record with blockbuster tech listings. The imminent S-1 filing (May 15-22) and June roadshow loom as resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGoldman Sachs 47%
Morgan Stanley 38%
Bank of America 10.1%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,714,944 Vol.
$1,714,944 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Goldman Sachs
47%
Morgan Stanley
38%
Bank of America
10%
JPMorgan
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
UBS
<1%
Barclays
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 47%
Morgan Stanley 38%
Bank of America 10.1%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,714,944 Vol.
$1,714,944 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Goldman Sachs
$251,896 Vol.
47%
Morgan Stanley
$346,276 Vol.
38%
Bank of America
$70,935 Vol.
10%
JPMorgan
$309,218 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$192,617 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$98,904 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$68,228 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$313,554 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$63,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Goldman Sachs at a 46% implied probability to lead underwrite SpaceX's historic IPO—targeting a $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—as active bookrunners, including Morgan Stanley (38.5%), JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup, compete intensely within a 21-bank syndicate code-named Project Apex. An April 6 virtual meeting with Elon Musk and executives confirmed the lineup but no hierarchy, sustaining the tight race amid the rocket maker's Starship milestones and Starlink expansion bolstering timing. Morgan Stanley draws strength from longstanding Musk ties via Tesla deals and xAI staffing, while Goldman Sachs edges ahead on its track record with blockbuster tech listings. The imminent S-1 filing (May 15-22) and June roadshow loom as resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,714,944End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Goldman Sachs at a 46% implied probability to lead underwrite SpaceX's historic IPO—targeting a $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—as active bookrunners, including Morgan Stanley (38.5%), JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup, compete intensely within a 21-bank syndicate code-named Project Apex. An April 6 virtual meeting with Elon Musk and executives confirmed the lineup but no hierarchy, sustaining the tight race amid the rocket maker's Starship milestones and Starlink expansion bolstering timing. Morgan Stanley draws strength from longstanding Musk ties via Tesla deals and xAI staffing, while Goldman Sachs edges ahead on its track record with blockbuster tech listings. The imminent S-1 filing (May 15-22) and June roadshow loom as resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,714,944End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Goldman Sachs at a 46% implied probability to lead underwrite SpaceX's historic IPO—targeting a $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—as active bookrunners, including Morgan Stanley (38.5%), JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup, compete intensely within a 21-bank syndicate code-named Project Apex. An April 6 virtual meeting with Elon Musk and executives confirmed the lineup but no hierarchy, sustaining the tight race amid the rocket maker's Starship milestones and Starlink expansion bolstering timing. Morgan Stanley draws strength from longstanding Musk ties via Tesla deals and xAI staffing, while Goldman Sachs edges ahead on its track record with blockbuster tech listings. The imminent S-1 filing (May 15-22) and June roadshow loom as resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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