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Climate & Science

Climate & Science

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January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) card icon

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

<1.00ºC

16%

1.00–1.04ºC

17%

<1.00ºC

16%

1.00–1.04ºC

17%

$304k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
How many Tornadoes in the US in January? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

<30

63%

30–59

34%

<30

63%

30–59

34%

$458k Vol.

repeat-3daily
2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

<1%

2nd hottest

1%

1st hottest

<1%

2nd hottest

1%

$204k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 11? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 11?

0

95%

1

2%

0

95%

1

2%

$190k Vol.

repeat-3weekly
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

47%

1

29%

0

47%

1

29%

$240k Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

<1550

74%

1550–1599

27%

<1550

74%

1550–1599

27%

$560k Vol.

repeat-3daily
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1

13%

2

27%

1

13%

2

27%

$1m Vol.

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

1%

2nd hottest

1%

1st hottest

1%

2nd hottest

1%

$214k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
What will SpaceX's public ticker be? card icon

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$STAR

26%

$SPAX

22%

$STAR

26%

$SPAX

22%

$1m Vol.

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 18? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 18?

0

43%

1

39%

0

43%

1

39%

$12k Vol.

repeat-3weekly
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

$500k Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

<5

1%

5–7

4%

<5

1%

5–7

4%

$266k Vol.

repeat-3daily
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

7%

chance

$11k Vol.

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...? card icon

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

January 31

54%

March 31

94%

January 31

54%

March 31

94%

$60k Vol.

repeat-3daily
Measles cases in U.S. by January 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

20

99%

40

98%

20

99%

40

98%

$6k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

48%

chance

$82k Vol.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

70%

>$1.2T

55%

>$1T

70%

>$1.2T

55%

$159k Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

26%

chance

$63k Vol.

repeat-3daily
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

2

1%

3

2%

2

1%

3

2%

$770k Vol.