Forecast consensus around 80–83°F drives the tight 36.5%–34.5% split between those bins, reflecting model uncertainty in Miami’s overnight minimum amid typical August subtropical conditions. High humidity and frequent cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near or slightly above the long-term 78–81°F climatological range; subtle differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies with lows near 80–82°F, though afternoon instability updates on August 13 could refine that range before the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$33 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$9 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$37 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$28 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$22 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus around 80–83°F drives the tight 36.5%–34.5% split between those bins, reflecting model uncertainty in Miami’s overnight minimum amid typical August subtropical conditions. High humidity and frequent cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near or slightly above the long-term 78–81°F climatological range; subtle differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies with lows near 80–82°F, though afternoon instability updates on August 13 could refine that range before the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$622End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus around 80–83°F drives the tight 36.5%–34.5% split between those bins, reflecting model uncertainty in Miami’s overnight minimum amid typical August subtropical conditions. High humidity and frequent cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near or slightly above the long-term 78–81°F climatological range; subtle differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies with lows near 80–82°F, though afternoon instability updates on August 13 could refine that range before the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$622End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus around 80–83°F drives the tight 36.5%–34.5% split between those bins, reflecting model uncertainty in Miami’s overnight minimum amid typical August subtropical conditions. High humidity and frequent cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near or slightly above the long-term 78–81°F climatological range; subtle differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies with lows near 80–82°F, though afternoon instability updates on August 13 could refine that range before the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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