Busan’s coastal location on South Korea’s southeast shore typically moderates August maxima through sea-breeze effects, keeping daily highs near the 29–31 °C climatological average. Current KMA guidance and global model consensus point to persistent high pressure with light northeasterly flow, supporting afternoon temperatures of 31–32 °C on August 15, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap readings at 30 °C. Recent heat-wave conditions across the peninsula have eased slightly, reducing the likelihood of 34 °C or higher but leaving genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether subsidence strengthens or moisture arrives, directly influencing trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 15?
31°C 37%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
20%
31°C
37%
32°C
24%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$118 Vol.
2%
28°C
$69 Vol.
5%
29°C
$17 Vol.
12%
30°C
$17 Vol.
20%
31°C
$47 Vol.
37%
32°C
$7 Vol.
24%
33°C
$10 Vol.
7%
34°C
$24 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$44 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Busan’s coastal location on South Korea’s southeast shore typically moderates August maxima through sea-breeze effects, keeping daily highs near the 29–31 °C climatological average. Current KMA guidance and global model consensus point to persistent high pressure with light northeasterly flow, supporting afternoon temperatures of 31–32 °C on August 15, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap readings at 30 °C. Recent heat-wave conditions across the peninsula have eased slightly, reducing the likelihood of 34 °C or higher but leaving genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether subsidence strengthens or moisture arrives, directly influencing trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$698End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Busan’s coastal location on South Korea’s southeast shore typically moderates August maxima through sea-breeze effects, keeping daily highs near the 29–31 °C climatological average. Current KMA guidance and global model consensus point to persistent high pressure with light northeasterly flow, supporting afternoon temperatures of 31–32 °C on August 15, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap readings at 30 °C. Recent heat-wave conditions across the peninsula have eased slightly, reducing the likelihood of 34 °C or higher but leaving genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether subsidence strengthens or moisture arrives, directly influencing trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$698End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Busan’s coastal location on South Korea’s southeast shore typically moderates August maxima through sea-breeze effects, keeping daily highs near the 29–31 °C climatological average. Current KMA guidance and global model consensus point to persistent high pressure with light northeasterly flow, supporting afternoon temperatures of 31–32 °C on August 15, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap readings at 30 °C. Recent heat-wave conditions across the peninsula have eased slightly, reducing the likelihood of 34 °C or higher but leaving genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether subsidence strengthens or moisture arrives, directly influencing trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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