NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 77°F for downtown Los Angeles today, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow that supports early low clouds before partial clearing. This setup typically caps daytime heating below seasonal August averages of 82–85°F, positioning the 76–77°F bin as the leading outcome with 55% implied probability. Recent UCLA synopses note mostly sunny conditions with high clouds after morning overcast, while localized variations near the coast or valleys could nudge readings into the 78–79°F range at 31.5% odds. Official observations from stations like KLAX show recent daily maxima in the mid-70s to low-80s amid similar patterns, with resolution hinging on precise peak timing before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 55%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 7%
72-73°F 1.4%
NEW
$21,906 Vol.
NEW
$21,906 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 55%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 7%
72-73°F 1.4%
NEW
$21,906 Vol.
NEW
$21,906 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$1,501 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$932 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$842 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,286 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$3,160 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$4,495 Vol.
55%
78-79°F
$3,677 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$1,399 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,212 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$628 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 77°F for downtown Los Angeles today, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow that supports early low clouds before partial clearing. This setup typically caps daytime heating below seasonal August averages of 82–85°F, positioning the 76–77°F bin as the leading outcome with 55% implied probability. Recent UCLA synopses note mostly sunny conditions with high clouds after morning overcast, while localized variations near the coast or valleys could nudge readings into the 78–79°F range at 31.5% odds. Official observations from stations like KLAX show recent daily maxima in the mid-70s to low-80s amid similar patterns, with resolution hinging on precise peak timing before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$21,906End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 77°F for downtown Los Angeles today, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow that supports early low clouds before partial clearing. This setup typically caps daytime heating below seasonal August averages of 82–85°F, positioning the 76–77°F bin as the leading outcome with 55% implied probability. Recent UCLA synopses note mostly sunny conditions with high clouds after morning overcast, while localized variations near the coast or valleys could nudge readings into the 78–79°F range at 31.5% odds. Official observations from stations like KLAX show recent daily maxima in the mid-70s to low-80s amid similar patterns, with resolution hinging on precise peak timing before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,906End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 77°F for downtown Los Angeles today, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow that supports early low clouds before partial clearing. This setup typically caps daytime heating below seasonal August averages of 82–85°F, positioning the 76–77°F bin as the leading outcome with 55% implied probability. Recent UCLA synopses note mostly sunny conditions with high clouds after morning overcast, while localized variations near the coast or valleys could nudge readings into the 78–79°F range at 31.5% odds. Official observations from stations like KLAX show recent daily maxima in the mid-70s to low-80s amid similar patterns, with resolution hinging on precise peak timing before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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