Trader consensus around 32°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 13 high reflects ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models showing a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining daytime maxima near 31–33°C. Coastal location moderates extremes through sea breezes and higher humidity, while recent upper-air patterns indicate limited typhoon influence or frontal passages that could alter the trajectory. Model spread remains modest but widens with longer-range guidance, underscoring typical summer variability in the region where historical mid-August averages hover near 30°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around peak temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 13?
32°C 39%
31°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C
21%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
31°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$97 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$533 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,004 Vol.
2%
30°C
$273 Vol.
7%
31°C
$202 Vol.
22%
32°C
$402 Vol.
39%
33°C
$326 Vol.
21%
34°C
$249 Vol.
8%
35°C
$92 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 13 high reflects ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models showing a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining daytime maxima near 31–33°C. Coastal location moderates extremes through sea breezes and higher humidity, while recent upper-air patterns indicate limited typhoon influence or frontal passages that could alter the trajectory. Model spread remains modest but widens with longer-range guidance, underscoring typical summer variability in the region where historical mid-August averages hover near 30°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around peak temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,226End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 13 high reflects ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models showing a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining daytime maxima near 31–33°C. Coastal location moderates extremes through sea breezes and higher humidity, while recent upper-air patterns indicate limited typhoon influence or frontal passages that could alter the trajectory. Model spread remains modest but widens with longer-range guidance, underscoring typical summer variability in the region where historical mid-August averages hover near 30°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around peak temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,226End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 32°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 13 high reflects ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models showing a persistent subtropical ridge maintaining daytime maxima near 31–33°C. Coastal location moderates extremes through sea breezes and higher humidity, while recent upper-air patterns indicate limited typhoon influence or frontal passages that could alter the trajectory. Model spread remains modest but widens with longer-range guidance, underscoring typical summer variability in the region where historical mid-August averages hover near 30°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around peak temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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