Current forecasts for Kuala Lumpur indicate a maximum temperature near 33°C on August 15, aligning with trader emphasis on that threshold at 48.5% implied probability. Tropical monsoon conditions during the southwest monsoon season typically produce highs of 31–34°C, moderated by high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme peaks. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to stable steering patterns with minimal deviation from climatological averages around 32°C, though urban heat effects in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 32–34°C, supporting the combined 84% probability on those two outcomes while leaving room for slight shifts from updated convection or rainfall data in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 15?
33°C 49%
34°C 36%
32°C 11%
35°C 6%
NEW
$22,373 Vol.
NEW
$22,373 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
49%
34°C
36%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 36%
32°C 11%
35°C 6%
NEW
$22,373 Vol.
NEW
$22,373 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,717 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,419 Vol.
11%
33°C
$739 Vol.
49%
34°C
$891 Vol.
36%
35°C
$435 Vol.
6%
36°C
$1,813 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Kuala Lumpur indicate a maximum temperature near 33°C on August 15, aligning with trader emphasis on that threshold at 48.5% implied probability. Tropical monsoon conditions during the southwest monsoon season typically produce highs of 31–34°C, moderated by high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme peaks. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to stable steering patterns with minimal deviation from climatological averages around 32°C, though urban heat effects in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 32–34°C, supporting the combined 84% probability on those two outcomes while leaving room for slight shifts from updated convection or rainfall data in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$22,373End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Kuala Lumpur indicate a maximum temperature near 33°C on August 15, aligning with trader emphasis on that threshold at 48.5% implied probability. Tropical monsoon conditions during the southwest monsoon season typically produce highs of 31–34°C, moderated by high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme peaks. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to stable steering patterns with minimal deviation from climatological averages around 32°C, though urban heat effects in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 32–34°C, supporting the combined 84% probability on those two outcomes while leaving room for slight shifts from updated convection or rainfall data in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,373End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Kuala Lumpur indicate a maximum temperature near 33°C on August 15, aligning with trader emphasis on that threshold at 48.5% implied probability. Tropical monsoon conditions during the southwest monsoon season typically produce highs of 31–34°C, moderated by high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme peaks. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to stable steering patterns with minimal deviation from climatological averages around 32°C, though urban heat effects in the city center can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 32–34°C, supporting the combined 84% probability on those two outcomes while leaving room for slight shifts from updated convection or rainfall data in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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