Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (often >70 %) and frequent scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms limit radiative heating and cap extreme outliers, while urban heat-island effects and basin topography can add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August averages peak around 30–34 °C with occasional spikes above 35 °C, so current guidance clusters probability in the 33–36 °C range; small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model bias on steering flow could readily move the verified high one bin either way before resolution on the 15th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 15?
36°C 23%
35°C 21%
37°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
16%
35°C
21%
36°C
23%
37°C
19%
38°C
13%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 23%
35°C 21%
37°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
30°C
$12 Vol.
4%
31°C
$12 Vol.
4%
32°C
$12 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
21%
36°C
$0 Vol.
23%
37°C
$0 Vol.
19%
38°C
$0 Vol.
13%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (often >70 %) and frequent scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms limit radiative heating and cap extreme outliers, while urban heat-island effects and basin topography can add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August averages peak around 30–34 °C with occasional spikes above 35 °C, so current guidance clusters probability in the 33–36 °C range; small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model bias on steering flow could readily move the verified high one bin either way before resolution on the 15th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (often >70 %) and frequent scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms limit radiative heating and cap extreme outliers, while urban heat-island effects and basin topography can add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August averages peak around 30–34 °C with occasional spikes above 35 °C, so current guidance clusters probability in the 33–36 °C range; small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model bias on steering flow could readily move the verified high one bin either way before resolution on the 15th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity (often >70 %) and frequent scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms limit radiative heating and cap extreme outliers, while urban heat-island effects and basin topography can add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August averages peak around 30–34 °C with occasional spikes above 35 °C, so current guidance clusters probability in the 33–36 °C range; small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model bias on steering flow could readily move the verified high one bin either way before resolution on the 15th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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