Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions Denver’s August 12 high temperature near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (40 %) and 94–95 °F (27 %) implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and downslope westerly flow off the Rockies favor daytime heating, while increasing afternoon moisture and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest cooling that caps upside risk and supports the competitive 90–91 °F bin. This late-summer climatology, following early-August record heat, keeps probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 26%
90-91°F 22%
96-97°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 26%
90-91°F 22%
96-97°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$451 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$136 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$322 Vol.
22%
92-93°F
$480 Vol.
39%
94-95°F
$712 Vol.
26%
96-97°F
$171 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$47 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$98 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions Denver’s August 12 high temperature near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (40 %) and 94–95 °F (27 %) implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and downslope westerly flow off the Rockies favor daytime heating, while increasing afternoon moisture and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest cooling that caps upside risk and supports the competitive 90–91 °F bin. This late-summer climatology, following early-August record heat, keeps probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,972End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions Denver’s August 12 high temperature near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (40 %) and 94–95 °F (27 %) implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and downslope westerly flow off the Rockies favor daytime heating, while increasing afternoon moisture and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest cooling that caps upside risk and supports the competitive 90–91 °F bin. This late-summer climatology, following early-August record heat, keeps probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,972End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions Denver’s August 12 high temperature near 92–95 °F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (40 %) and 94–95 °F (27 %) implied probabilities. Persistent high pressure and downslope westerly flow off the Rockies favor daytime heating, while increasing afternoon moisture and isolated thunderstorm chances introduce modest cooling that caps upside risk and supports the competitive 90–91 °F bin. This late-summer climatology, following early-August record heat, keeps probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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