Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 90s under a subtropical ridge promoting light winds, high dew points near 75°F, and afternoon sea-breeze development that typically caps readings. The near-even split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in forecast timing of the seabreeze front and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or allow a degree or two of additional warming. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs remain modest, underscoring the limited upside beyond 95°F given historical August climatology and expected cloud cover. Tomorrow’s final model updates and local observations will provide the last refinement before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 43%
96-97°F 7%
90-91°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 43%
96-97°F 7%
90-91°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$450 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$504 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$289 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$318 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$883 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,460 Vol.
50%
94-95°F
$1,937 Vol.
43%
96-97°F
$658 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$253 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 90s under a subtropical ridge promoting light winds, high dew points near 75°F, and afternoon sea-breeze development that typically caps readings. The near-even split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in forecast timing of the seabreeze front and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or allow a degree or two of additional warming. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs remain modest, underscoring the limited upside beyond 95°F given historical August climatology and expected cloud cover. Tomorrow’s final model updates and local observations will provide the last refinement before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,123End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 90s under a subtropical ridge promoting light winds, high dew points near 75°F, and afternoon sea-breeze development that typically caps readings. The near-even split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in forecast timing of the seabreeze front and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or allow a degree or two of additional warming. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs remain modest, underscoring the limited upside beyond 95°F given historical August climatology and expected cloud cover. Tomorrow’s final model updates and local observations will provide the last refinement before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,123End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a maximum temperature in the low-to-mid 90s under a subtropical ridge promoting light winds, high dew points near 75°F, and afternoon sea-breeze development that typically caps readings. The near-even split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in forecast timing of the seabreeze front and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or allow a degree or two of additional warming. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs remain modest, underscoring the limited upside beyond 95°F given historical August climatology and expected cloud cover. Tomorrow’s final model updates and local observations will provide the last refinement before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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