Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on August 12 points to overnight lows in the low 80s, driven by persistent summer humidity, dew points near 75°F, and light easterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 78°F, but recent conditions with elevated heat indices and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight have kept temperatures elevated, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected to alter steering patterns or introduce cooler air before the observation window closes, though minor model tweaks on wind speed could still shift the final minimum by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 33%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 33%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
$8 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$44 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$77 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$38 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$19 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$59 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$109 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$19 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$300 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$8 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on August 12 points to overnight lows in the low 80s, driven by persistent summer humidity, dew points near 75°F, and light easterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 78°F, but recent conditions with elevated heat indices and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight have kept temperatures elevated, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected to alter steering patterns or introduce cooler air before the observation window closes, though minor model tweaks on wind speed could still shift the final minimum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$700End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on August 12 points to overnight lows in the low 80s, driven by persistent summer humidity, dew points near 75°F, and light easterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 78°F, but recent conditions with elevated heat indices and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight have kept temperatures elevated, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected to alter steering patterns or introduce cooler air before the observation window closes, though minor model tweaks on wind speed could still shift the final minimum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$700End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on August 12 points to overnight lows in the low 80s, driven by persistent summer humidity, dew points near 75°F, and light easterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 78°F, but recent conditions with elevated heat indices and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight have kept temperatures elevated, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected to alter steering patterns or introduce cooler air before the observation window closes, though minor model tweaks on wind speed could still shift the final minimum by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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