Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Denver will reach a high near 97°F on August 10 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and possible patchy smoke, supporting the market's tight clustering around the 94–97°F bins. This aligns with an ongoing warm pattern across the Front Range, where afternoon temperatures have recently approached or exceeded 95°F amid above-normal seasonal conditions. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in projected boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any cloud cover, and localized urban heat effects that can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical August normals near 88–90°F provide context for the elevated outlook, while NHC-style ensemble updates and the next official NWS point forecast will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 10?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 10?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 34%
92-93°F 18%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 34%
92-93°F 18%
90-91°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
83°F or below
$7 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$12 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$12 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$59 Vol.
18%
94-95°F
$9 Vol.
34%
96-97°F
$20 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
5%
100-101°F
$6 Vol.
2%
102°F or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Denver will reach a high near 97°F on August 10 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and possible patchy smoke, supporting the market's tight clustering around the 94–97°F bins. This aligns with an ongoing warm pattern across the Front Range, where afternoon temperatures have recently approached or exceeded 95°F amid above-normal seasonal conditions. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in projected boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any cloud cover, and localized urban heat effects that can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical August normals near 88–90°F provide context for the elevated outlook, while NHC-style ensemble updates and the next official NWS point forecast will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$207End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Denver will reach a high near 97°F on August 10 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and possible patchy smoke, supporting the market's tight clustering around the 94–97°F bins. This aligns with an ongoing warm pattern across the Front Range, where afternoon temperatures have recently approached or exceeded 95°F amid above-normal seasonal conditions. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in projected boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any cloud cover, and localized urban heat effects that can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical August normals near 88–90°F provide context for the elevated outlook, while NHC-style ensemble updates and the next official NWS point forecast will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$207End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Denver will reach a high near 97°F on August 10 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and possible patchy smoke, supporting the market's tight clustering around the 94–97°F bins. This aligns with an ongoing warm pattern across the Front Range, where afternoon temperatures have recently approached or exceeded 95°F amid above-normal seasonal conditions. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in projected boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any cloud cover, and localized urban heat effects that can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical August normals near 88–90°F provide context for the elevated outlook, while NHC-style ensemble updates and the next official NWS point forecast will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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