Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a moderating pattern after late-July heat, favoring peak temperatures of 92–95°F in Houston on August 8 as a subtle cold front and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. Typical early-August climatology shows daily highs near 94°F with high humidity, yet current runs from the ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly suppressed maxima around 93°F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Minor forecast spread and potential for localized clearing keep 90–91°F and 96–97°F viable but lower-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 8?
92-93°F 44%
94-95°F 35%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 44%
94-95°F 35%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
83°F or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$94 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$230 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$478 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$416 Vol.
44%
94-95°F
$342 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$719 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$99 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a moderating pattern after late-July heat, favoring peak temperatures of 92–95°F in Houston on August 8 as a subtle cold front and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. Typical early-August climatology shows daily highs near 94°F with high humidity, yet current runs from the ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly suppressed maxima around 93°F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Minor forecast spread and potential for localized clearing keep 90–91°F and 96–97°F viable but lower-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,822End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a moderating pattern after late-July heat, favoring peak temperatures of 92–95°F in Houston on August 8 as a subtle cold front and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. Typical early-August climatology shows daily highs near 94°F with high humidity, yet current runs from the ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly suppressed maxima around 93°F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Minor forecast spread and potential for localized clearing keep 90–91°F and 96–97°F viable but lower-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,822End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a moderating pattern after late-July heat, favoring peak temperatures of 92–95°F in Houston on August 8 as a subtle cold front and increased cloud cover limit afternoon heating. Typical early-August climatology shows daily highs near 94°F with high humidity, yet current runs from the ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly suppressed maxima around 93°F, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Minor forecast spread and potential for localized clearing keep 90–91°F and 96–97°F viable but lower-probability outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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