Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that threshold. In Panama's tropical wet-season climate, typical August highs average 29–32°C, moderated by frequent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs show steering patterns and moisture levels supporting peak readings near 34°C without widespread heavy rain suppressing temperatures further. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the potential for localized variability or slight model shifts in the final 24 hours, keeping 33°C and 35°C as secondary outcomes at 21% and 18.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 10?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 10?
34°C 52%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
21%
34°C
52%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 52%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$634 Vol.
1%
31°C
$386 Vol.
1%
32°C
$335 Vol.
6%
33°C
$678 Vol.
21%
34°C
$3,458 Vol.
52%
35°C
$666 Vol.
19%
36°C
$382 Vol.
2%
37°C
$227 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that threshold. In Panama's tropical wet-season climate, typical August highs average 29–32°C, moderated by frequent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs show steering patterns and moisture levels supporting peak readings near 34°C without widespread heavy rain suppressing temperatures further. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the potential for localized variability or slight model shifts in the final 24 hours, keeping 33°C and 35°C as secondary outcomes at 21% and 18.5%.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$9,056End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that threshold. In Panama's tropical wet-season climate, typical August highs average 29–32°C, moderated by frequent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs show steering patterns and moisture levels supporting peak readings near 34°C without widespread heavy rain suppressing temperatures further. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the potential for localized variability or slight model shifts in the final 24 hours, keeping 33°C and 35°C as secondary outcomes at 21% and 18.5%.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,056End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that threshold. In Panama's tropical wet-season climate, typical August highs average 29–32°C, moderated by frequent cloud cover, humidity above 80%, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Recent model runs show steering patterns and moisture levels supporting peak readings near 34°C without widespread heavy rain suppressing temperatures further. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the potential for localized variability or slight model shifts in the final 24 hours, keeping 33°C and 35°C as secondary outcomes at 21% and 18.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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