Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 centers on 12°C (46.5% implied probability) over 13°C (38%), reflecting a lingering cold air mass from recent days that has kept readings below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Numerical weather models, including consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 11–12°C as surface heating remains limited under stable high pressure. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud timing or weak warm-air advection, which could nudge readings to 13°C in some runs or hold them at 11°C if clearer radiative cooling occurs overnight. Official updates from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and the next GFS/ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10?
12°C 48%
13°C 38%
11°C 12%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
48%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 38%
11°C 12%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
$90 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$240 Vol.
1%
9°C
$90 Vol.
1%
10°C
$110 Vol.
2%
11°C
$145 Vol.
12%
12°C
$506 Vol.
48%
13°C
$802 Vol.
38%
14°C
$125 Vol.
5%
15°C
$110 Vol.
2%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 centers on 12°C (46.5% implied probability) over 13°C (38%), reflecting a lingering cold air mass from recent days that has kept readings below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Numerical weather models, including consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 11–12°C as surface heating remains limited under stable high pressure. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud timing or weak warm-air advection, which could nudge readings to 13°C in some runs or hold them at 11°C if clearer radiative cooling occurs overnight. Official updates from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and the next GFS/ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,544End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 centers on 12°C (46.5% implied probability) over 13°C (38%), reflecting a lingering cold air mass from recent days that has kept readings below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Numerical weather models, including consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 11–12°C as surface heating remains limited under stable high pressure. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud timing or weak warm-air advection, which could nudge readings to 13°C in some runs or hold them at 11°C if clearer radiative cooling occurs overnight. Official updates from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and the next GFS/ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,544End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 centers on 12°C (46.5% implied probability) over 13°C (38%), reflecting a lingering cold air mass from recent days that has kept readings below the seasonal average of 15–17°C. Numerical weather models, including consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 11–12°C as surface heating remains limited under stable high pressure. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud timing or weak warm-air advection, which could nudge readings to 13°C in some runs or hold them at 11°C if clearer radiative cooling occurs overnight. Official updates from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and the next GFS/ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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