Recent Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble runs project a daytime maximum of 25–27 °C for Amsterdam on 15 August, with hourly peaks most likely near 25 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast flow. This narrow range drives the market’s tight clustering, as small differences in low-level moisture, timing of any thin cloud layers, or urban-heat-island enhancement at the official measurement site can shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (average high ~22 °C) places the current setup slightly above normal, yet well below heat-wave thresholds, leaving traders focused on the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing or advection of warmer continental air.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?
26°C 34%
27°C 27%
25°C 22%
24°C 9%
NEW
$12,055 Vol.
NEW
$12,055 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
9%
25°C
22%
26°C
34%
27°C
27%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 27%
25°C 22%
24°C 9%
NEW
$12,055 Vol.
NEW
$12,055 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$362 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,409 Vol.
1%
22°C
$766 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,793 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1,625 Vol.
9%
25°C
$1,499 Vol.
22%
26°C
$2,018 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,334 Vol.
27%
28°C
$778 Vol.
8%
29°C
$246 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble runs project a daytime maximum of 25–27 °C for Amsterdam on 15 August, with hourly peaks most likely near 25 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast flow. This narrow range drives the market’s tight clustering, as small differences in low-level moisture, timing of any thin cloud layers, or urban-heat-island enhancement at the official measurement site can shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (average high ~22 °C) places the current setup slightly above normal, yet well below heat-wave thresholds, leaving traders focused on the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing or advection of warmer continental air.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,055End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble runs project a daytime maximum of 25–27 °C for Amsterdam on 15 August, with hourly peaks most likely near 25 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast flow. This narrow range drives the market’s tight clustering, as small differences in low-level moisture, timing of any thin cloud layers, or urban-heat-island enhancement at the official measurement site can shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (average high ~22 °C) places the current setup slightly above normal, yet well below heat-wave thresholds, leaving traders focused on the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing or advection of warmer continental air.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,055End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble runs project a daytime maximum of 25–27 °C for Amsterdam on 15 August, with hourly peaks most likely near 25 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast flow. This narrow range drives the market’s tight clustering, as small differences in low-level moisture, timing of any thin cloud layers, or urban-heat-island enhancement at the official measurement site can shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (average high ~22 °C) places the current setup slightly above normal, yet well below heat-wave thresholds, leaving traders focused on the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer mixing or advection of warmer continental air.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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