Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Jeddah highs near 40–42°C on August 16, driven by peak summer insolation, Red Sea humidity, and light northerly winds that limit cooling. Historical August maxima average 38–39°C with occasional spikes above 40°C under clear, stable conditions. Recent runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant dust or monsoon moisture to suppress temperatures, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher while leaving room for downward revision if local observations or updated guidance indicate slightly lower peaks. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Jeddah station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
41°C or higher 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
12%
40°C
22%
41°C or higher
56%
41°C or higher 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
3%
38°C
$40 Vol.
6%
39°C
$1 Vol.
12%
40°C
$77 Vol.
22%
41°C or higher
$238 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Jeddah highs near 40–42°C on August 16, driven by peak summer insolation, Red Sea humidity, and light northerly winds that limit cooling. Historical August maxima average 38–39°C with occasional spikes above 40°C under clear, stable conditions. Recent runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant dust or monsoon moisture to suppress temperatures, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher while leaving room for downward revision if local observations or updated guidance indicate slightly lower peaks. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Jeddah station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,631End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Jeddah highs near 40–42°C on August 16, driven by peak summer insolation, Red Sea humidity, and light northerly winds that limit cooling. Historical August maxima average 38–39°C with occasional spikes above 40°C under clear, stable conditions. Recent runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant dust or monsoon moisture to suppress temperatures, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher while leaving room for downward revision if local observations or updated guidance indicate slightly lower peaks. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Jeddah station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,631End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Jeddah highs near 40–42°C on August 16, driven by peak summer insolation, Red Sea humidity, and light northerly winds that limit cooling. Historical August maxima average 38–39°C with occasional spikes above 40°C under clear, stable conditions. Recent runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant dust or monsoon moisture to suppress temperatures, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher while leaving room for downward revision if local observations or updated guidance indicate slightly lower peaks. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Jeddah station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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