Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent summer heat in the Sichuan Basin, with model consensus placing Chengdu's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C amid variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential. High humidity and regional subsidence under the subtropical ridge favor elevated daytime temperatures, while convective activity or increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 32 °C or allow brief intensification to 34 °C or higher. The closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, including ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and local steering flows that influence maximum readings. Historical mid-August climatology supports occasional exceedances above 35 °C when clear skies persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 16?
33°C 28%
34°C 20%
32°C 19%
35°C or higher 16.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
19%
33°C
28%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
16%
33°C 28%
34°C 20%
32°C 19%
35°C or higher 16.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$604 Vol.
1%
29°C
$312 Vol.
2%
30°C
$295 Vol.
5%
31°C
$388 Vol.
11%
32°C
$221 Vol.
19%
33°C
$126 Vol.
28%
34°C
$115 Vol.
20%
35°C or higher
$672 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent summer heat in the Sichuan Basin, with model consensus placing Chengdu's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C amid variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential. High humidity and regional subsidence under the subtropical ridge favor elevated daytime temperatures, while convective activity or increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 32 °C or allow brief intensification to 34 °C or higher. The closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, including ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and local steering flows that influence maximum readings. Historical mid-August climatology supports occasional exceedances above 35 °C when clear skies persist.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,671End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent summer heat in the Sichuan Basin, with model consensus placing Chengdu's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C amid variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential. High humidity and regional subsidence under the subtropical ridge favor elevated daytime temperatures, while convective activity or increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 32 °C or allow brief intensification to 34 °C or higher. The closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, including ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and local steering flows that influence maximum readings. Historical mid-August climatology supports occasional exceedances above 35 °C when clear skies persist.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,671End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent summer heat in the Sichuan Basin, with model consensus placing Chengdu's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C amid variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm potential. High humidity and regional subsidence under the subtropical ridge favor elevated daytime temperatures, while convective activity or increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 32 °C or allow brief intensification to 34 °C or higher. The closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, including ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and local steering flows that influence maximum readings. Historical mid-August climatology supports occasional exceedances above 35 °C when clear skies persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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