Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chongqing's August 16 maximum near 37–39°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Subtropical monsoon circulation, basin topography that traps heat and limits ventilation, and strong urban heat island effects sustain elevated temperatures, while variable cloud cover, humidity near 70%, and any convective precipitation can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August records show frequent 35–40°C highs with occasional spikes above 42°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Model consensus and short-range updates through August 15 will likely drive the final resolution, as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and moisture-driven cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 16?
38°C 36%
37°C 29%
39°C 14%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
33°C or below
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
29%
38°C
36%
39°C
14%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
4%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 29%
39°C 14%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
33°C or below
$2,639 Vol.
2%
34°C
$41 Vol.
2%
35°C
$50 Vol.
4%
36°C
$63 Vol.
13%
37°C
$37 Vol.
29%
38°C
$1,067 Vol.
36%
39°C
$37 Vol.
14%
40°C
$30 Vol.
5%
41°C
$32 Vol.
2%
42°C
$10 Vol.
4%
43°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chongqing's August 16 maximum near 37–39°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Subtropical monsoon circulation, basin topography that traps heat and limits ventilation, and strong urban heat island effects sustain elevated temperatures, while variable cloud cover, humidity near 70%, and any convective precipitation can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August records show frequent 35–40°C highs with occasional spikes above 42°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Model consensus and short-range updates through August 15 will likely drive the final resolution, as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and moisture-driven cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,053End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chongqing's August 16 maximum near 37–39°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Subtropical monsoon circulation, basin topography that traps heat and limits ventilation, and strong urban heat island effects sustain elevated temperatures, while variable cloud cover, humidity near 70%, and any convective precipitation can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August records show frequent 35–40°C highs with occasional spikes above 42°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Model consensus and short-range updates through August 15 will likely drive the final resolution, as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and moisture-driven cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,053End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chongqing's August 16 maximum near 37–39°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Subtropical monsoon circulation, basin topography that traps heat and limits ventilation, and strong urban heat island effects sustain elevated temperatures, while variable cloud cover, humidity near 70%, and any convective precipitation can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August records show frequent 35–40°C highs with occasional spikes above 42°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Model consensus and short-range updates through August 15 will likely drive the final resolution, as traders weigh the balance between radiative heating and moisture-driven cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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