Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, a pattern that can either cap or briefly spike temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. Model guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical summer convective uncertainty rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market’s top two outcomes (35°C and 34°C) separated by just seven percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow range between peak solar heating and storm-induced cooling. Historical August maxima near 34°C provide context, while the next CWA update and real-time observations will likely determine whether the highest reading settles at 34°C, 35°C, or edges into 36°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
35°C 31%
34°C 28%
36°C 21%
33°C 8%
NEW
$24,917 Vol.
NEW
$24,917 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
28%
35°C
31%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
34°C 28%
36°C 21%
33°C 8%
NEW
$24,917 Vol.
NEW
$24,917 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$993 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,139 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,830 Vol.
1%
33°C
$4,643 Vol.
8%
34°C
$4,666 Vol.
28%
35°C
$3,573 Vol.
31%
36°C
$2,187 Vol.
21%
37°C
$1,803 Vol.
4%
38°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, a pattern that can either cap or briefly spike temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. Model guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical summer convective uncertainty rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market’s top two outcomes (35°C and 34°C) separated by just seven percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow range between peak solar heating and storm-induced cooling. Historical August maxima near 34°C provide context, while the next CWA update and real-time observations will likely determine whether the highest reading settles at 34°C, 35°C, or edges into 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$24,917End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, a pattern that can either cap or briefly spike temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. Model guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical summer convective uncertainty rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market’s top two outcomes (35°C and 34°C) separated by just seven percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow range between peak solar heating and storm-induced cooling. Historical August maxima near 34°C provide context, while the next CWA update and real-time observations will likely determine whether the highest reading settles at 34°C, 35°C, or edges into 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,917End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, a pattern that can either cap or briefly spike temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. Model guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical summer convective uncertainty rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market’s top two outcomes (35°C and 34°C) separated by just seven percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow range between peak solar heating and storm-induced cooling. Historical August maxima near 34°C provide context, while the next CWA update and real-time observations will likely determine whether the highest reading settles at 34°C, 35°C, or edges into 36°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions