Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to gradual clearing over central China, boosting solar insolation and supporting a rebound toward Wuhan's seasonal August average high near 33°C for August 16. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River basin typically sustain maxima in the low-to-mid 30s, while light northerly winds limit advection of cooler air. Recent days featured more cloud cover and scattered showers that capped readings closer to 30–32°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 32–34°C and the low odds assigned to extremes above 35°C or below 31°C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data through August 15 will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
33°C 39%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
39%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18 Vol.
3%
31°C
$146 Vol.
6%
32°C
$22 Vol.
22%
33°C
$303 Vol.
39%
34°C
$262 Vol.
25%
35°C
$26 Vol.
7%
36°C
$91 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to gradual clearing over central China, boosting solar insolation and supporting a rebound toward Wuhan's seasonal August average high near 33°C for August 16. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River basin typically sustain maxima in the low-to-mid 30s, while light northerly winds limit advection of cooler air. Recent days featured more cloud cover and scattered showers that capped readings closer to 30–32°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 32–34°C and the low odds assigned to extremes above 35°C or below 31°C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data through August 15 will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,207End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to gradual clearing over central China, boosting solar insolation and supporting a rebound toward Wuhan's seasonal August average high near 33°C for August 16. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River basin typically sustain maxima in the low-to-mid 30s, while light northerly winds limit advection of cooler air. Recent days featured more cloud cover and scattered showers that capped readings closer to 30–32°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 32–34°C and the low odds assigned to extremes above 35°C or below 31°C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data through August 15 will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,207End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to gradual clearing over central China, boosting solar insolation and supporting a rebound toward Wuhan's seasonal August average high near 33°C for August 16. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River basin typically sustain maxima in the low-to-mid 30s, while light northerly winds limit advection of cooler air. Recent days featured more cloud cover and scattered showers that capped readings closer to 30–32°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 32–34°C and the low odds assigned to extremes above 35°C or below 31°C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data through August 15 will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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