Recent forecasts for Busan indicate a shift toward overcast skies and heavy rainfall on August 16, driven by an active East Asian summer monsoon pattern and potential tropical moisture influx, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that typically cap daytime maxima near historical August averages of 28–30°C. Minor variations in forecast runs—particularly regarding frontal passage or thunderstorm intensity—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 29°C+ reflecting reduced heating potential under persistent cloud cover. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 16?
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$112 Vol.
3%
25°C
$494 Vol.
14%
26°C
$302 Vol.
28%
27°C
$678 Vol.
39%
28°C
$220 Vol.
16%
29°C
$204 Vol.
6%
30°C
$183 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$76 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Busan indicate a shift toward overcast skies and heavy rainfall on August 16, driven by an active East Asian summer monsoon pattern and potential tropical moisture influx, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that typically cap daytime maxima near historical August averages of 28–30°C. Minor variations in forecast runs—particularly regarding frontal passage or thunderstorm intensity—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 29°C+ reflecting reduced heating potential under persistent cloud cover. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,623End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Busan indicate a shift toward overcast skies and heavy rainfall on August 16, driven by an active East Asian summer monsoon pattern and potential tropical moisture influx, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that typically cap daytime maxima near historical August averages of 28–30°C. Minor variations in forecast runs—particularly regarding frontal passage or thunderstorm intensity—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 29°C+ reflecting reduced heating potential under persistent cloud cover. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,623End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Busan indicate a shift toward overcast skies and heavy rainfall on August 16, driven by an active East Asian summer monsoon pattern and potential tropical moisture influx, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that typically cap daytime maxima near historical August averages of 28–30°C. Minor variations in forecast runs—particularly regarding frontal passage or thunderstorm intensity—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 29°C+ reflecting reduced heating potential under persistent cloud cover. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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