Recent model consensus for Guangzhou points to afternoon highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 16 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms likely developing by midday. High humidity near 70-80% and cloud cover from convective activity will moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while the urban heat island effect and light steering winds could allow brief spikes if storms are delayed. Ensemble spreads across global models reflect uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 35-37°C. Historical August averages near 33-34°C provide context, yet short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on instability indices will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
36°C 37%
35°C 26%
37°C 20%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
12%
34°C
14%
35°C
26%
36°C
31%
37°C
20%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 37%
35°C 26%
37°C 20%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$53 Vol.
2%
33°C
$3 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$14 Vol.
31%
37°C
$21 Vol.
20%
38°C
$5 Vol.
11%
39°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Guangzhou points to afternoon highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 16 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms likely developing by midday. High humidity near 70-80% and cloud cover from convective activity will moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while the urban heat island effect and light steering winds could allow brief spikes if storms are delayed. Ensemble spreads across global models reflect uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 35-37°C. Historical August averages near 33-34°C provide context, yet short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on instability indices will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$666End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Guangzhou points to afternoon highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 16 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms likely developing by midday. High humidity near 70-80% and cloud cover from convective activity will moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while the urban heat island effect and light steering winds could allow brief spikes if storms are delayed. Ensemble spreads across global models reflect uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 35-37°C. Historical August averages near 33-34°C provide context, yet short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on instability indices will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$666End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Guangzhou points to afternoon highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 16 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms likely developing by midday. High humidity near 70-80% and cloud cover from convective activity will moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while the urban heat island effect and light steering winds could allow brief spikes if storms are delayed. Ensemble spreads across global models reflect uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 35-37°C. Historical August averages near 33-34°C provide context, yet short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on instability indices will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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