Singapore’s near-term forecast models and National Environment Agency guidance point to daytime peaks of 31–32 °C on 16 August, reflecting the narrow 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. Under a strengthening El Niño and Southwest Monsoon flow, reduced moisture and cloud cover have supported recent readings up to 34 °C, yet scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in humidity can readily cap the maximum one degree lower. Historical August averages hover near 31 °C, with small day-to-day differences driven by precise timing of showers, wind patterns, and station-specific urban heating rather than large-scale shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will resolve the tight contest between these adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 47%
31°C 43%
30°C 7%
33°C 7%
NEW
$14,321 Vol.
NEW
$14,321 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
43%
32°C
47%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 43%
30°C 7%
33°C 7%
NEW
$14,321 Vol.
NEW
$14,321 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$700 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,202 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,243 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,877 Vol.
43%
32°C
$4,121 Vol.
47%
33°C
$1,820 Vol.
7%
34°C
$792 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$544 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s near-term forecast models and National Environment Agency guidance point to daytime peaks of 31–32 °C on 16 August, reflecting the narrow 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. Under a strengthening El Niño and Southwest Monsoon flow, reduced moisture and cloud cover have supported recent readings up to 34 °C, yet scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in humidity can readily cap the maximum one degree lower. Historical August averages hover near 31 °C, with small day-to-day differences driven by precise timing of showers, wind patterns, and station-specific urban heating rather than large-scale shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will resolve the tight contest between these adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,321End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s near-term forecast models and National Environment Agency guidance point to daytime peaks of 31–32 °C on 16 August, reflecting the narrow 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. Under a strengthening El Niño and Southwest Monsoon flow, reduced moisture and cloud cover have supported recent readings up to 34 °C, yet scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in humidity can readily cap the maximum one degree lower. Historical August averages hover near 31 °C, with small day-to-day differences driven by precise timing of showers, wind patterns, and station-specific urban heating rather than large-scale shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will resolve the tight contest between these adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,321End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s near-term forecast models and National Environment Agency guidance point to daytime peaks of 31–32 °C on 16 August, reflecting the narrow 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. Under a strengthening El Niño and Southwest Monsoon flow, reduced moisture and cloud cover have supported recent readings up to 34 °C, yet scattered afternoon convection or slight increases in humidity can readily cap the maximum one degree lower. Historical August averages hover near 31 °C, with small day-to-day differences driven by precise timing of showers, wind patterns, and station-specific urban heating rather than large-scale shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will resolve the tight contest between these adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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