Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a daily minimum temperature of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 17, supported by ongoing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical mid-August conditions in the region feature average lows near 22–23°C, but persistent precipitation through August 14–17 has narrowed the diurnal range and kept overnight readings elevated compared to drier periods. Model consensus favors 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C at 41.5%. Shifts in the timing or intensity of showers ahead of the resolution window could push readings slightly lower or higher, though current guidance shows limited deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
24°C 42%
23°C 27%
25°C 23%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
27%
24°C
42%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 27%
25°C 23%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
18°C or below
$341 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$346 Vol.
1%
20°C
$71 Vol.
1%
21°C
$21 Vol.
1%
22°C
$274 Vol.
4%
23°C
$305 Vol.
27%
24°C
$834 Vol.
42%
25°C
$123 Vol.
23%
26°C
$281 Vol.
5%
27°C
$61 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a daily minimum temperature of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 17, supported by ongoing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical mid-August conditions in the region feature average lows near 22–23°C, but persistent precipitation through August 14–17 has narrowed the diurnal range and kept overnight readings elevated compared to drier periods. Model consensus favors 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C at 41.5%. Shifts in the timing or intensity of showers ahead of the resolution window could push readings slightly lower or higher, though current guidance shows limited deviation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,973End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a daily minimum temperature of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 17, supported by ongoing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical mid-August conditions in the region feature average lows near 22–23°C, but persistent precipitation through August 14–17 has narrowed the diurnal range and kept overnight readings elevated compared to drier periods. Model consensus favors 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C at 41.5%. Shifts in the timing or intensity of showers ahead of the resolution window could push readings slightly lower or higher, though current guidance shows limited deviation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,973End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) point to a daily minimum temperature of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 17, supported by ongoing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical mid-August conditions in the region feature average lows near 22–23°C, but persistent precipitation through August 14–17 has narrowed the diurnal range and kept overnight readings elevated compared to drier periods. Model consensus favors 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 24°C at 41.5%. Shifts in the timing or intensity of showers ahead of the resolution window could push readings slightly lower or higher, though current guidance shows limited deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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