Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge over southern Germany will deliver mostly sunny conditions and strong solar heating on August 15, supporting daytime maxima around 32–34°C in Munich. Trader sentiment clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from variable low-level moisture and the timing of any late-day convective showers, which could trim the peak if they develop earlier than expected. Light winds and seasonal insolation near the summer solstice favor the upper end of the range, while climatological August averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 15?
35°C 40%
34°C 32%
33°C 16%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
16%
34°C
32%
35°C
40%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 32%
33°C 16%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13 Vol.
1%
32°C
$240 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,045 Vol.
16%
34°C
$1,528 Vol.
32%
35°C
$1,575 Vol.
40%
36°C
$126 Vol.
13%
37°C
$12 Vol.
2%
38°C
$126 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$119 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge over southern Germany will deliver mostly sunny conditions and strong solar heating on August 15, supporting daytime maxima around 32–34°C in Munich. Trader sentiment clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from variable low-level moisture and the timing of any late-day convective showers, which could trim the peak if they develop earlier than expected. Light winds and seasonal insolation near the summer solstice favor the upper end of the range, while climatological August averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,833End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge over southern Germany will deliver mostly sunny conditions and strong solar heating on August 15, supporting daytime maxima around 32–34°C in Munich. Trader sentiment clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from variable low-level moisture and the timing of any late-day convective showers, which could trim the peak if they develop earlier than expected. Light winds and seasonal insolation near the summer solstice favor the upper end of the range, while climatological August averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,833End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge over southern Germany will deliver mostly sunny conditions and strong solar heating on August 15, supporting daytime maxima around 32–34°C in Munich. Trader sentiment clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from variable low-level moisture and the timing of any late-day convective showers, which could trim the peak if they develop earlier than expected. Light winds and seasonal insolation near the summer solstice favor the upper end of the range, while climatological August averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as the event approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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