**Trader sentiment for the highest wind gust recorded at Mt. Washington summit in August 2026 is shaped primarily by the absence of strong tropical or extratropical systems capable of producing extreme gusts.** August is climatologically one of the calmest months on the summit, with a historical median daily maximum gust near 49 mph and an all-time August record of 147 mph tied to Tropical Storm Isaias in 2020. Near-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane activity and no major landfalling or nearby systems through late August kept conditions typical, with mild temperatures (highs reaching only 68°F) and no reports of hurricane-force or near-record gusts from the Mount Washington Observatory. The observatory’s official anemometer data—accounting for icing-corrected measurements on the exposed 6,288-foot peak—will determine resolution. Without late-month storm passages, probabilities favor gusts remaining well below 100 mph thresholds, consistent with historical summer baselines rather than outlier events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
$5,582 Vol.

≥85 mph
Yes

≥90 mph
Yes

≥95 mph
Yes

≥100 mph
Yes

≥105 mph
Yes

≥110 mph
No

≥115 mph
No
$5,582 Vol.

≥85 mph
Yes

≥90 mph
Yes

≥95 mph
Yes

≥100 mph
Yes

≥105 mph
Yes

≥110 mph
No

≥115 mph
No
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Trader sentiment for the highest wind gust recorded at Mt. Washington summit in August 2026 is shaped primarily by the absence of strong tropical or extratropical systems capable of producing extreme gusts.** August is climatologically one of the calmest months on the summit, with a historical median daily maximum gust near 49 mph and an all-time August record of 147 mph tied to Tropical Storm Isaias in 2020. Near-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane activity and no major landfalling or nearby systems through late August kept conditions typical, with mild temperatures (highs reaching only 68°F) and no reports of hurricane-force or near-record gusts from the Mount Washington Observatory. The observatory’s official anemometer data—accounting for icing-corrected measurements on the exposed 6,288-foot peak—will determine resolution. Without late-month storm passages, probabilities favor gusts remaining well below 100 mph thresholds, consistent with historical summer baselines rather than outlier events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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