Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shenzhen's September 22 high likely peaking in the low 30s°C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Subtropical moisture and light easterly to southeasterly flow support afternoon convection that can suppress maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while any breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, with current model consensus centered on 31–32°C resolution thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the balance between persistent rain chances and potential for isolated clearing that could nudge readings higher, consistent with the closely matched implied probabilities for those two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 22?
31°C 34%
32°C 28%
33°C 22%
30°C 15%
NEW
$20,686 Vol.
NEW
$20,686 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
28%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 28%
33°C 22%
30°C 15%
NEW
$20,686 Vol.
NEW
$20,686 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,345 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,996 Vol.
15%
31°C
$2,137 Vol.
34%
32°C
$2,341 Vol.
28%
33°C
$7,473 Vol.
22%
34°C
$893 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$493 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shenzhen's September 22 high likely peaking in the low 30s°C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Subtropical moisture and light easterly to southeasterly flow support afternoon convection that can suppress maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while any breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, with current model consensus centered on 31–32°C resolution thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the balance between persistent rain chances and potential for isolated clearing that could nudge readings higher, consistent with the closely matched implied probabilities for those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$20,686End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shenzhen's September 22 high likely peaking in the low 30s°C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Subtropical moisture and light easterly to southeasterly flow support afternoon convection that can suppress maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while any breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, with current model consensus centered on 31–32°C resolution thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the balance between persistent rain chances and potential for isolated clearing that could nudge readings higher, consistent with the closely matched implied probabilities for those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,686End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models show Shenzhen's September 22 high likely peaking in the low 30s°C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Subtropical moisture and light easterly to southeasterly flow support afternoon convection that can suppress maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while any breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, with current model consensus centered on 31–32°C resolution thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the balance between persistent rain chances and potential for isolated clearing that could nudge readings higher, consistent with the closely matched implied probabilities for those two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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