Official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a September 23 maximum near 31–32°C, consistent with the market’s strongest weighting on 32°C. In this equatorial maritime climate, afternoon highs hinge on solar heating balanced against convective cloud cover and showers, with typical September baselines of 30–32°C and dew points near 25°C sustaining humidity that curbs extremes. Recent model consensus shows 40–80% rain chances and partly cloudy conditions that could trim peaks below 33°C, while any delay in convection might briefly allow 33°C readings. Historical patterns and current guidance from sources like the Met Office and local ensembles reinforce 32°C as the most probable outcome under standard steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
32°C 52%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
30°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
52%
33°C
22%
34°C or higher
4%
32°C 52%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
30°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
52%
33°C
22%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a September 23 maximum near 31–32°C, consistent with the market’s strongest weighting on 32°C. In this equatorial maritime climate, afternoon highs hinge on solar heating balanced against convective cloud cover and showers, with typical September baselines of 30–32°C and dew points near 25°C sustaining humidity that curbs extremes. Recent model consensus shows 40–80% rain chances and partly cloudy conditions that could trim peaks below 33°C, while any delay in convection might briefly allow 33°C readings. Historical patterns and current guidance from sources like the Met Office and local ensembles reinforce 32°C as the most probable outcome under standard steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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