**Current NWS forecasts for Miami on September 24 point to a high near 88°F amid scattered to likely thunderstorms with 70-80% precipitation chances, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 86-93°F range.** Thunderstorm timing, coverage, and intensity remain the dominant variables: early or widespread convection can limit afternoon heating and cap the daily maximum, while delayed or localized activity allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting from south to northeast, and typical late-September sea-breeze influences add further uncertainty. Official guidance shows model consensus around the upper 80s, but small shifts in the 12-48 hour forecast window can easily move the observed high by 2-4°F. Updated NWS runs and short-range model outputs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 24?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 35%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
77°F or below
7%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
14%
96°F or higher
4%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 35%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
77°F or below
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$3 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
23%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
14%
96°F or higher
$27 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS forecasts for Miami on September 24 point to a high near 88°F amid scattered to likely thunderstorms with 70-80% precipitation chances, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 86-93°F range.**
Thunderstorm timing, coverage, and intensity remain the dominant variables: early or widespread convection can limit afternoon heating and cap the daily maximum, while delayed or localized activity allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting from south to northeast, and typical late-September sea-breeze influences add further uncertainty. Official guidance shows model consensus around the upper 80s, but small shifts in the 12-48 hour forecast window can easily move the observed high by 2-4°F. Updated NWS runs and short-range model outputs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS forecasts for Miami on September 24 point to a high near 88°F amid scattered to likely thunderstorms with 70-80% precipitation chances, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 86-93°F range.**
Thunderstorm timing, coverage, and intensity remain the dominant variables: early or widespread convection can limit afternoon heating and cap the daily maximum, while delayed or localized activity allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting from south to northeast, and typical late-September sea-breeze influences add further uncertainty. Official guidance shows model consensus around the upper 80s, but small shifts in the 12-48 hour forecast window can easily move the observed high by 2-4°F. Updated NWS runs and short-range model outputs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS forecasts for Miami on September 24 point to a high near 88°F amid scattered to likely thunderstorms with 70-80% precipitation chances, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 86-93°F range.** Thunderstorm timing, coverage, and intensity remain the dominant variables: early or widespread convection can limit afternoon heating and cap the daily maximum, while delayed or localized activity allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds shifting from south to northeast, and typical late-September sea-breeze influences add further uncertainty. Official guidance shows model consensus around the upper 80s, but small shifts in the 12-48 hour forecast window can easily move the observed high by 2-4°F. Updated NWS runs and short-range model outputs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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