Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a daily maximum near 66–68°F for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under high pressure. Mostly cloudy skies and moderate winds (15–20 mph) will limit solar heating and vertical mixing, keeping the peak well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 62–71°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the stable synoptic pattern expected through the short-term period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 24?
57°F or below 68%
66-67°F 40%
76°F or higher 38%
62-63°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
57°F or below
68%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
24%
76°F or higher
38%
57°F or below 68%
66-67°F 40%
76°F or higher 38%
62-63°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Vol.
68%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
15%
66-67°F
$3 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
24%
76°F or higher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a daily maximum near 66–68°F for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under high pressure. Mostly cloudy skies and moderate winds (15–20 mph) will limit solar heating and vertical mixing, keeping the peak well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 62–71°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the stable synoptic pattern expected through the short-term period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$3End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a daily maximum near 66–68°F for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under high pressure. Mostly cloudy skies and moderate winds (15–20 mph) will limit solar heating and vertical mixing, keeping the peak well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 62–71°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the stable synoptic pattern expected through the short-term period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a daily maximum near 66–68°F for New York City on September 24, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under high pressure. Mostly cloudy skies and moderate winds (15–20 mph) will limit solar heating and vertical mixing, keeping the peak well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 62–71°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs against the stable synoptic pattern expected through the short-term period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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