**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from an incoming frontal system are anchoring trader sentiment around a 63–65°F high for New York City on September 22.** National Weather Service and multiple model runs project a daytime maximum near 63–64°F under overcast skies, with northeast flow at 10–15 mph and a 50–65% chance of light rain or showers limiting diurnal heating. Recent observations show the region under cooler maritime air following earlier showers, keeping temperatures well below seasonal normals near 75°F. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the 48% market-implied probability on 64–65°F while leaving room for minor revisions if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will provide the key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 22?
64-65°F 49%
66-67°F 34%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 49%
66-67°F 34%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$29 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$320 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$479 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$627 Vol.
34%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$13 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$63 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from an incoming frontal system are anchoring trader sentiment around a 63–65°F high for New York City on September 22.** National Weather Service and multiple model runs project a daytime maximum near 63–64°F under overcast skies, with northeast flow at 10–15 mph and a 50–65% chance of light rain or showers limiting diurnal heating. Recent observations show the region under cooler maritime air following earlier showers, keeping temperatures well below seasonal normals near 75°F. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the 48% market-implied probability on 64–65°F while leaving room for minor revisions if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will provide the key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,782End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from an incoming frontal system are anchoring trader sentiment around a 63–65°F high for New York City on September 22.** National Weather Service and multiple model runs project a daytime maximum near 63–64°F under overcast skies, with northeast flow at 10–15 mph and a 50–65% chance of light rain or showers limiting diurnal heating. Recent observations show the region under cooler maritime air following earlier showers, keeping temperatures well below seasonal normals near 75°F. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the 48% market-implied probability on 64–65°F while leaving room for minor revisions if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will provide the key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,782End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from an incoming frontal system are anchoring trader sentiment around a 63–65°F high for New York City on September 22.** National Weather Service and multiple model runs project a daytime maximum near 63–64°F under overcast skies, with northeast flow at 10–15 mph and a 50–65% chance of light rain or showers limiting diurnal heating. Recent observations show the region under cooler maritime air following earlier showers, keeping temperatures well below seasonal normals near 75°F. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the 48% market-implied probability on 64–65°F while leaving room for minor revisions if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will provide the key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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