**Trader consensus favors 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on September 22, with 51.5% implied probability edging out 94-95°F at 42.5%.** Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies under light northerly to northeasterly winds support strong daytime heating, consistent with recent mid- to upper-90s readings and National Weather Service guidance calling for a high near 95°F. Minor differences between the leading bins hinge on precise peak timing, any late-day sea-breeze moderation, or subtle model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. Official airport observations (e.g., KIAH or Hobby) will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, with heat indices projected above 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 22?
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 44%
98-99°F 5%
92-93°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 44%
98-99°F 5%
92-93°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
$70 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$457 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$1,843 Vol.
44%
96-97°F
$1,911 Vol.
52%
98-99°F
$234 Vol.
5%
100-101°F
$95 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$111 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$345 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on September 22, with 51.5% implied probability edging out 94-95°F at 42.5%.** Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies under light northerly to northeasterly winds support strong daytime heating, consistent with recent mid- to upper-90s readings and National Weather Service guidance calling for a high near 95°F. Minor differences between the leading bins hinge on precise peak timing, any late-day sea-breeze moderation, or subtle model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. Official airport observations (e.g., KIAH or Hobby) will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, with heat indices projected above 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,524End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on September 22, with 51.5% implied probability edging out 94-95°F at 42.5%.** Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies under light northerly to northeasterly winds support strong daytime heating, consistent with recent mid- to upper-90s readings and National Weather Service guidance calling for a high near 95°F. Minor differences between the leading bins hinge on precise peak timing, any late-day sea-breeze moderation, or subtle model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. Official airport observations (e.g., KIAH or Hobby) will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, with heat indices projected above 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,524End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favors 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on September 22, with 51.5% implied probability edging out 94-95°F at 42.5%.** Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies under light northerly to northeasterly winds support strong daytime heating, consistent with recent mid- to upper-90s readings and National Weather Service guidance calling for a high near 95°F. Minor differences between the leading bins hinge on precise peak timing, any late-day sea-breeze moderation, or subtle model spreads in boundary-layer mixing. Official airport observations (e.g., KIAH or Hobby) will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, with heat indices projected above 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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