Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,164 Vol.
$65,164 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,164 Vol.
$65,164 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$13,999 Vol.
No
26°C
$18,698 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,843 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,355 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,690 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$4,856 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,903 Vol.
No
32°C
$555 Vol.
No
33°C
$196 Vol.
No
34°C
$31 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$37 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$65,164End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,164End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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