Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low for Dallas on September 24 near 72–75°F, driven by persistent east-northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover that allows moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-65°F and 84°F-plus outcomes because small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or incoming moisture could alter the minimum by several degrees, while historical September averages near 67°F provide limited guidance this late in a warm pattern. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will clarify whether enhanced mixing or clearer skies push the low higher or permit greater cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
65°F or below 99%
84°F or higher 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
65°F or below
99%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84°F or higher
98%
65°F or below 99%
84°F or higher 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
65°F or below
99%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low for Dallas on September 24 near 72–75°F, driven by persistent east-northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover that allows moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-65°F and 84°F-plus outcomes because small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or incoming moisture could alter the minimum by several degrees, while historical September averages near 67°F provide limited guidance this late in a warm pattern. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will clarify whether enhanced mixing or clearer skies push the low higher or permit greater cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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