Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 14 project a sunny day with a maximum of 33°C under persistent high pressure and warm advection during the ongoing heatwave. Ensemble guidance from global models shows strong consensus around this threshold, with limited spread toward 32–34°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat island effects at official stations. Historical August baselines near 23°C underscore the anomalous conditions, while minimal precipitation risk supports sustained daytime heating. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 14?
Highest temperature in London on August 14?
33°C 53%
34°C 24%
32°C 14%
31°C 6%
NEW
$18,909 Vol.
NEW
$18,909 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
53%
34°C
24%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
34°C 24%
32°C 14%
31°C 6%
NEW
$18,909 Vol.
NEW
$18,909 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$927 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,335 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,637 Vol.
6%
32°C
$3,641 Vol.
14%
33°C
$3,465 Vol.
53%
34°C
$3,183 Vol.
24%
35°C
$2,219 Vol.
5%
36°C
$1,089 Vol.
2%
37°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 14 project a sunny day with a maximum of 33°C under persistent high pressure and warm advection during the ongoing heatwave. Ensemble guidance from global models shows strong consensus around this threshold, with limited spread toward 32–34°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat island effects at official stations. Historical August baselines near 23°C underscore the anomalous conditions, while minimal precipitation risk supports sustained daytime heating. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,909End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 14 project a sunny day with a maximum of 33°C under persistent high pressure and warm advection during the ongoing heatwave. Ensemble guidance from global models shows strong consensus around this threshold, with limited spread toward 32–34°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat island effects at official stations. Historical August baselines near 23°C underscore the anomalous conditions, while minimal precipitation risk supports sustained daytime heating. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,909End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 14 project a sunny day with a maximum of 33°C under persistent high pressure and warm advection during the ongoing heatwave. Ensemble guidance from global models shows strong consensus around this threshold, with limited spread toward 32–34°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat island effects at official stations. Historical August baselines near 23°C underscore the anomalous conditions, while minimal precipitation risk supports sustained daytime heating. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data point that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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