Recent model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly flow, and a weak frontal boundary that limits solar heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions align with mid-August climatology (average highs ~15 °C) while suppressing the upper end of the distribution, keeping 17 °C or warmer probabilities low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for exactly 14 °C and 25.5 % for 15 °C, incorporates this forecast cluster and the modest warming signal associated with emerging El Niño influences across the broader region. Updated runs expected overnight will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
14°C 41%
15°C 26%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
14%
14°C
41%
15°C
26%
16°C
8%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
15°C 26%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
$68 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$68 Vol.
1%
11°C
$123 Vol.
1%
12°C
$142 Vol.
7%
13°C
$252 Vol.
14%
14°C
$539 Vol.
41%
15°C
$116 Vol.
26%
16°C
$93 Vol.
8%
17°C
$23 Vol.
6%
18°C
$92 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly flow, and a weak frontal boundary that limits solar heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions align with mid-August climatology (average highs ~15 °C) while suppressing the upper end of the distribution, keeping 17 °C or warmer probabilities low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for exactly 14 °C and 25.5 % for 15 °C, incorporates this forecast cluster and the modest warming signal associated with emerging El Niño influences across the broader region. Updated runs expected overnight will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,571End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly flow, and a weak frontal boundary that limits solar heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions align with mid-August climatology (average highs ~15 °C) while suppressing the upper end of the distribution, keeping 17 °C or warmer probabilities low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for exactly 14 °C and 25.5 % for 15 °C, incorporates this forecast cluster and the modest warming signal associated with emerging El Niño influences across the broader region. Updated runs expected overnight will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,571End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum near 13–14 °C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly flow, and a weak frontal boundary that limits solar heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions align with mid-August climatology (average highs ~15 °C) while suppressing the upper end of the distribution, keeping 17 °C or warmer probabilities low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for exactly 14 °C and 25.5 % for 15 °C, incorporates this forecast cluster and the modest warming signal associated with emerging El Niño influences across the broader region. Updated runs expected overnight will refine cloud and wind details ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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