High pressure dominating North Texas continues to favor sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of August 14, supporting afternoon highs near 100–102 °F according to National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance. Model consensus shows limited moisture return and weak steering currents that cap intensification, keeping the daily maximum most likely in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest cooling potential from increased boundary-layer mixing or isolated afternoon clouds, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability (35 %) to the 98–99 °F bin while the adjacent 100–101 °F outcome sits close behind at 32 %. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 14?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 14?
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 17%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 17%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
95°F or below
$11 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$25 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$54 Vol.
35%
100-101°F
$254 Vol.
37%
102-103°F
$51 Vol.
17%
104-105°F
$135 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$5 Vol.
3%
108-109°F
$10 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$12 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$12 Vol.
1%
114°F or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating North Texas continues to favor sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of August 14, supporting afternoon highs near 100–102 °F according to National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance. Model consensus shows limited moisture return and weak steering currents that cap intensification, keeping the daily maximum most likely in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest cooling potential from increased boundary-layer mixing or isolated afternoon clouds, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability (35 %) to the 98–99 °F bin while the adjacent 100–101 °F outcome sits close behind at 32 %. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$580End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating North Texas continues to favor sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of August 14, supporting afternoon highs near 100–102 °F according to National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance. Model consensus shows limited moisture return and weak steering currents that cap intensification, keeping the daily maximum most likely in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest cooling potential from increased boundary-layer mixing or isolated afternoon clouds, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability (35 %) to the 98–99 °F bin while the adjacent 100–101 °F outcome sits close behind at 32 %. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$580End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure dominating North Texas continues to favor sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of August 14, supporting afternoon highs near 100–102 °F according to National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance. Model consensus shows limited moisture return and weak steering currents that cap intensification, keeping the daily maximum most likely in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest cooling potential from increased boundary-layer mixing or isolated afternoon clouds, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability (35 %) to the 98–99 °F bin while the adjacent 100–101 °F outcome sits close behind at 32 %. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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