Official forecasts for Mexico City on August 14 center on a daytime high of 23–26°C, with model consensus clustering near 24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convective showers and high-altitude cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically cap peaks, while variable cloud cover and steering winds introduce the narrow spread between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these central values because short-term model runs show limited deviation from climatological norms, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any thunderstorms that could suppress or briefly elevate the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14?
25°C 42%
26°C 27%
24°C 24%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
42%
26°C
27%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 42%
26°C 27%
24°C 24%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
19°C or below
$108 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$458 Vol.
1%
22°C
$337 Vol.
3%
23°C
$225 Vol.
6%
24°C
$83 Vol.
24%
25°C
$169 Vol.
42%
26°C
$64 Vol.
27%
27°C
$38 Vol.
4%
28°C
$78 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$94 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Mexico City on August 14 center on a daytime high of 23–26°C, with model consensus clustering near 24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convective showers and high-altitude cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically cap peaks, while variable cloud cover and steering winds introduce the narrow spread between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these central values because short-term model runs show limited deviation from climatological norms, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any thunderstorms that could suppress or briefly elevate the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,619End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Mexico City on August 14 center on a daytime high of 23–26°C, with model consensus clustering near 24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convective showers and high-altitude cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically cap peaks, while variable cloud cover and steering winds introduce the narrow spread between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these central values because short-term model runs show limited deviation from climatological norms, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any thunderstorms that could suppress or briefly elevate the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,619End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Mexico City on August 14 center on a daytime high of 23–26°C, with model consensus clustering near 24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Afternoon convective showers and high-altitude cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically cap peaks, while variable cloud cover and steering winds introduce the narrow spread between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these central values because short-term model runs show limited deviation from climatological norms, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any thunderstorms that could suppress or briefly elevate the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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