Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 12 point to a high near 100–101°F under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in North Texas, where climatological averages reach 95–96°F. These model outputs, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or moisture surges to moderate temperatures, underpin the 69% market-implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. The secondary 21% odds on 102–103°F reflect residual uncertainty from possible model spread or localized heat-island effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the established warm ridge and heat-advisory conditions persisting through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 12?
100-101°F 69%
102-103°F 21%
98-99°F 10%
104-105°F 3%
NEW
$20,289 Vol.
NEW
$20,289 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
69%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 69%
102-103°F 21%
98-99°F 10%
104-105°F 3%
NEW
$20,289 Vol.
NEW
$20,289 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
95°F or below
$3,823 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,695 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,939 Vol.
10%
100-101°F
$4,912 Vol.
69%
102-103°F
$1,445 Vol.
21%
104-105°F
$609 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$922 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$1,141 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$3,078 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$365 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 12 point to a high near 100–101°F under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in North Texas, where climatological averages reach 95–96°F. These model outputs, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or moisture surges to moderate temperatures, underpin the 69% market-implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. The secondary 21% odds on 102–103°F reflect residual uncertainty from possible model spread or localized heat-island effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the established warm ridge and heat-advisory conditions persisting through the period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$20,289End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 12 point to a high near 100–101°F under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in North Texas, where climatological averages reach 95–96°F. These model outputs, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or moisture surges to moderate temperatures, underpin the 69% market-implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. The secondary 21% odds on 102–103°F reflect residual uncertainty from possible model spread or localized heat-island effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the established warm ridge and heat-advisory conditions persisting through the period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,289End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 12 point to a high near 100–101°F under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in North Texas, where climatological averages reach 95–96°F. These model outputs, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or moisture surges to moderate temperatures, underpin the 69% market-implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. The secondary 21% odds on 102–103°F reflect residual uncertainty from possible model spread or localized heat-island effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the established warm ridge and heat-advisory conditions persisting through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions