A large multistate cyclosporiasis outbreak has driven U.S. case counts far above historical baselines, with CDC reporting 13,895 laboratory-confirmed domestically acquired cases since May 1, 2026—versus just 1,180 for the comparable May–August 31 period in 2025—plus over 10,000 additional cases under investigation across at least 34 states. The surge stems primarily from contaminated fresh produce, including iceberg lettuce traced to Mexican processors, with transmission occurring via the fecal-oral route after the Cyclospora cayetanensis oocysts sporulate in the environment. CDC surveillance notes that underdiagnosis and underreporting likely mean true incidence is higher, and seasonal patterns show continued rises through late summer. Weekly case updates and any new traceback findings from FDA or state health departments through August 31 represent the key data points that could shift final totals relative to prior years.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
15,000+
90%
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47%
$3,883 Vol.
15,000+
90%
20,000+
47%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A large multistate cyclosporiasis outbreak has driven U.S. case counts far above historical baselines, with CDC reporting 13,895 laboratory-confirmed domestically acquired cases since May 1, 2026—versus just 1,180 for the comparable May–August 31 period in 2025—plus over 10,000 additional cases under investigation across at least 34 states. The surge stems primarily from contaminated fresh produce, including iceberg lettuce traced to Mexican processors, with transmission occurring via the fecal-oral route after the Cyclospora cayetanensis oocysts sporulate in the environment. CDC surveillance notes that underdiagnosis and underreporting likely mean true incidence is higher, and seasonal patterns show continued rises through late summer. Weekly case updates and any new traceback findings from FDA or state health departments through August 31 represent the key data points that could shift final totals relative to prior years.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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