Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14 due to consistent outputs from regional and global numerical weather prediction models. These incorporate typical late-monsoon conditions—moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while maintaining daytime temperatures around the seasonal average. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing current readings near 31°C midday with little expected deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include rapid intensification of localized convection, shifts in steering winds that increase or decrease insolation, or revisions in afternoon observations from the Karachi airport station used for resolution. Updated model runs and real-time monitoring through the evening will provide the final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 14?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$30,030 Vol.
$30,030 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$30,030 Vol.
$30,030 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
27°C or below
$456 Vol.
No
28°C
$513 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,365 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,004 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,212 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,997 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$8,690 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,229 Vol.
No
35°C
$567 Vol.
No
36°C
$528 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$468 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14 due to consistent outputs from regional and global numerical weather prediction models. These incorporate typical late-monsoon conditions—moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while maintaining daytime temperatures around the seasonal average. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing current readings near 31°C midday with little expected deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include rapid intensification of localized convection, shifts in steering winds that increase or decrease insolation, or revisions in afternoon observations from the Karachi airport station used for resolution. Updated model runs and real-time monitoring through the evening will provide the final confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$30,030End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14 due to consistent outputs from regional and global numerical weather prediction models. These incorporate typical late-monsoon conditions—moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while maintaining daytime temperatures around the seasonal average. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing current readings near 31°C midday with little expected deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include rapid intensification of localized convection, shifts in steering winds that increase or decrease insolation, or revisions in afternoon observations from the Karachi airport station used for resolution. Updated model runs and real-time monitoring through the evening will provide the final confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,030End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14 due to consistent outputs from regional and global numerical weather prediction models. These incorporate typical late-monsoon conditions—moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while maintaining daytime temperatures around the seasonal average. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing current readings near 31°C midday with little expected deviation. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include rapid intensification of localized convection, shifts in steering winds that increase or decrease insolation, or revisions in afternoon observations from the Karachi airport station used for resolution. Updated model runs and real-time monitoring through the evening will provide the final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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