**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,221 Vol.
$30,221 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,221 Vol.
$30,221 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$204 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$222 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$832 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$1,336 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$3,294 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$10,654 Vol.
Yes
98-99°F
$7,179 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,531 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,773 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$1,415 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$782 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$30,221End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,221End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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